First edition: December 2025
This paper argues that the Abraham Accords have evolved from a diplomatic initiative into a stress-tested regional architecture that structures security coordination, economic integration, and strategic alignment between participating countries.
The report evaluates the Abraham Accords at five years through three analytical lenses, examining their performance as a regional security and economic architecture; their transformation under the 2023-25 regional war; and their differentiated expansion potential in the Levant, with a comparative focus on Lebanon and Syria. The report introduces a typology of Arab-Israeli relations, ranging from confrontation and de-confliction to estrangement and rapprochement, situating the Abraham Accords as a distinct “networked” model of peace that differs fundamentally from earlier “cold” peace treaties between Israel, Egypt and Jordan.
