The Middle East Is Not Stabilizing—It Is Learning to Manage Instability

The Middle East is entering an era of managed instability, where ceasefires, diplomacy, and conflict coexist without resolving the region’s crises.
How to Finally Disarm Hezbollah

Hezbollah will be disarmed not in battle, but by the steady removal of conditions that once made its arsenal appear necessary, viable, or legitimate.
The Systemic Consequences of the U.S.’ Attack on Iran

The U.S.’ attacks on Iran triggered a systemic recalibration, setting the first waves of adjustment, retaliation and realignment in motion.
The Swords of Iron War: From the Shiite Crescent to a ‘Sunni Revival’?

Turkey’s leadership in a ‘Sunni Revival’ offers opportunities, but also poses challenges to regional stability. Regional actors must effectively adapt.