Lebanon Falls Short on Refugee Returns

Following months of public statements in support of their supposed refugee return plan, Lebanese officials have begun sending Syrian refugees to neighbouring Syria. This effort falls against the backdrop of […]
The Lebanon-Israel maritime deal: A masterstroke from Hezbollah?

Hezbollah’s approach to Lebanon’s historic maritime deal with Israel is canny because it can be interpreted in two ways. As the Lebanese government rubs its hands in anticipation of potential lucrative hydrocarbon […]
Muqtada’s Retirement from Iraqi Politics Shows the Power of the Maraji

On 29 August 2022, Muqtada Al-Sadr, Iraq’s Shi’ite-nationalist leader, announced his permanent retirement from Iraqi politics. One of the major factors that led to this announcement was the decision by […]
Lebanon’s New Lawmakers and the Potential of Parliamentary Friendship Groups

In May 2022, Lebanon held parliamentary elections with a turnout of 49.2 per cent, including the votes of Lebanese expatriates living abroad[i]—a 0.5 per cent drop since 2018. Yet the […]
Regime Legitimation in Syria: How the West Is Falling for Bashar al-Assad’s Propaganda

“Assad or no one”; “Assad or we burn the country.” This slogan, first uttered by militiamen at the onset of the Syrian Civil War, reflects Bashar al-Assad’s relation to power: […]
Bahrain: Tribalism, Sectarianism, and the Challenges of the 21st Century

More than any other Arab Gulf state, Bahrain reflects the contradictions and conflicts of its past—an ossified British colonial political structure without the British. Al Khalifah rule is a byproduct […]
Saudi Arabia is the Gulf’s Status Quo Power

Saudi Arabia has been an anchor of stability and growth in the Gulf and beyond. There are at least three reasons for this. First, as the largest economy in the […]
Iraq’s Diplomatic Mediations: Strong on Symbolism but Short on Substance

Over the last two years, Iraq has been overwhelmed with protests, internal instability, US-Iran confrontation on Iraqi soil, political stalemate, and intra-Shia power rivalries. However, against all odds, Iraq has […]
Charting a New Direction: Turkey and Israel Normalise Ties

On 17 August 2022, Turkey and Israel announced that they would restore diplomatic ties and appoint ambassadors. Signs that the tide was turning were apparent with Israeli President Isaac Herzog’s […]
Is the Anti-Assad Camp Stuck in a Prisoner’s Dilemma?

Recent events surrounding the Syrian war are impacting diplomatic and political processes designed to end it, including Turkish calls for reconciliation talks with the Syrian government. This is a result […]