Iran After the Islamic Republic and The Pahlavi Question

The question is not if Iran’s regime changes, but if this allows authority to be moulded from abroad rather than being legitimised by Iranians.
Syria for Sale
The Politics of Recognition: Palestine at the Crossroads
The Nuclear Consequences of Iran’s Domestic Politics

The intertwining of Khamenei’s succession with high-stakes nuclear negotiations contributed to setting Iran on a path of confrontation with the West.
The Shadow of the “Trigger Mechanism” over Iran

The threat of using the “Trigger Mechanism” or “Snapback Mechanism” on Iran by the JCPOA’s European troika has increased.
As PKK Lays Down Arms, What About Reintegration?

Turkish military operations and the lack of legal guarantees embed a distrust that could jeopardize the promising peace process with the PKK.
Qatar’s Expanding Mediation in the Russia‑Ukraine War

Qatar’s diplomatic ties with conflicting parties, persistence, and carefully targeted incentives continues to make it one of the few credible mediators.
The Systemic Consequences of the U.S.’ Attack on Iran

The U.S.’ attacks on Iran triggered a systemic recalibration, setting the first waves of adjustment, retaliation and realignment in motion.
Turkey Moves to Fill the Opening Left by Iran

In a new spike of competition and amid Iran’s retreat as a result of Israel’s military pressure Turkey emerges as a prominent power.
Missile Defense in the Middle East: A Smart Investment That Must Evolve

Missile defense cooperation between the US and its partners in the Middle East has been one of the success stories of U.S. national security policy.