Lebanon as the Centrepiece of Iran’s Diplomatic Strategy

Iran links Lebanon to US nuclear talks, making the Israel-Hezbollah war a key bargaining chip in regional diplomacy, security and Middle East stability.
Why Iran Signed the MOU and What It Preserved

Examining why the 2026 U.S.–Iran MOU preserved Iran’s productive capacity while maintaining pressure on its nuclear programme.
An Appointment with Iran

The war on Iran and the subsequent negotiations reflect a broader regional pattern in which military coercion and diplomacy operate together.
The Credibility Trap: How Maximum Pressure Weakened U.S. Coercive Power

The Iran case reveals how repeated threats, policy reversals and ineffective coercion can weaken great-power credibility and undermine deterrence.
Can Economic Reconstruction Rebuild U.S.–Iran Relations?

A new U.S.–Iran framework links investment, sanctions relief and security. Can economic integration succeed where pressure and war failed?
Turkey Reshapes the Organization of Turkic States

The Organization of Turkic States is evolving into a geopolitical force, driven by connectivity, security, and Central Asia’s critical minerals.
Tehran’s Baloch Calculus Amid the War with the U.S.

As Iran faces external pressure, Balochistan emerges as a key flashpoint where dissent, repression and insurgency challenge Tehran’s power.
Israel’s Conventional and Nuclear Deterrence

Israel’s evolving nuclear posture, deterrence strategy, and the risks of escalation in an increasingly uncertain Middle East.
The Reopening of the Strait of Hormuz: Possible Scenarios

Iran’s control of the Strait of Hormuz has become a key bargaining tool in U.S.-Iran tensions, shaping maritime security, sanctions, and trade.
The Reluctant Merchant: Iran War, Beijing Summit, and the Limits of Predominance

Analysis of Trump’s Beijing visit, US-China-Iran dynamics, and the ‘reluctant merchant’ era showing limits of US power in a shifting global order.