First edition: March 2026
The war which began on 28th February 2026 between the State of Israel, the United States of America and the Islamic Republic of Iran, represents a major escalation. Commencing following the fragile ceasefire negotiated in 2025 between Iran and Israel, ongoing operations have significantly impacted Iran’s conventional military capabilities, while eliminating key members of its leadership. Remarkable resilience has nevertheless been displayed by Iran’s security forces, who continue widening the geographic area of the conflict, the consequences of which are reverberating globally.
This policy insight takes stock of the strategic considerations of relevant actors as well as the potential scenarios that lie ahead.
