Skip to content
America’s Suez Canal Conundrum
U.S. faces a modern Suez-style crisis as Iran closes the Strait of Hormuz, triggering global energy shocks, allied tensions, and rising geopolitical risks.
The Long Tail of Operation Epic Fury: Structural Disorder After the Guns Fall Silent
Operation Epic Fury’s aftermath reshapes Gulf security, markets, and nuclear risk, transforming Iran from containable threat to systemic disorder.
Syria amidst Regional Turmoil
The best-case scenario – at least for Syria at the moment – might the containment of Hezbollah within a strong Lebanese state.
Iraq’s Oil Shock is Becoming a Payroll Crisis
Iraq is no longer coping with an energy shock but confronting the slow unraveling of a political and economic order.
Will turmoil in the Middle East bring about a ‘Cypriot-led, Cypriot-owned’ peace process?
The Cypriot peace process has been unpredictable for the past 50 years. There are nonetheless some signs of progress (and even optimism).
Iran War Forces Kurdish Groups into the Spotlight
Without a political groundwork, a Kurdish-led military strategy risks deepening Iran’s internal fractures rather than accelerating political change.
The Iran War Heralds Russia’s Further Weakening
As long as the Iran’s regime is unchallenged by a sizeable opposing ground force, it will likely remain in power.
Why Iran’s Regime Will Remain In Power Despite the Ayatollah’s Death
As long as the Iran’s regime is unchallenged by a sizeable opposing ground force, it will likely remain in power.
The Iran War and Ankara’s Three Strategic Scenarios
The Iran war puts Turkey in a peculiar position, posing several challenges. Neutrality may no longer insulate Ankara.
Why the United States Should Let Algeria Stay Apart: Distance as Strategic Advantage
