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Beyond the Sect Map: Where Hezbollah Chooses Its Ground
Lebanon’s sectarian map obscures Hezbollah’s command and logistics networks, complicating disarmament as enforcement moves north.
As Hamas Reorients Itself, Will Qatar’s Mediation Role in Gaza Shrink?
Qatar’s Gaza role shrinks as Israel pushes back, Hamas shifts towards Turkey and Egypt, and Doha takes a narrower role in mediation and reconstruction efforts.
Sudanese Armed Forces’ Preference for a Military Outcome: An Obstacle to Sustainable Peace in Sudan
The War Against Iran: God, Death and Time
Why US military superiority may not defeat Iran: martyrdom, sacred time and strategic culture could strengthen Tehran’s resolve.
How the Israel-Lebanon Agreement May Reshape State Responsibility for Armed Non-State Actors
The Israel-Lebanon Framework Agreement shifts state responsibility to compliance with obligations concerning non-state armed actors.
The Gulf’s New Information Battlefield: War, Technology, and the Reconfiguration of Security
The Iran war reshaped Gulf security by accelerating information control, cyber governance and the political dimensions of citizenship.
Iran’s Internal Political Divide Reignites Conflict with the U.S.
Renewed U.S.-Iran hostilities highlight how the IRGC’s growing influence over Iran’s civilian leadership is reshaping regional security and diplomac
Why Iran Signed the MOU and What It Preserved
Examining why the 2026 U.S.–Iran MOU preserved Iran’s productive capacity while maintaining pressure on its nuclear programme.
The Credibility Trap: How Maximum Pressure Weakened U.S. Coercive Power
The Iran case reveals how repeated threats, policy reversals and ineffective coercion can weaken great-power credibility and undermine deterrence.
Can Economic Reconstruction Rebuild U.S.–Iran Relations?
A new U.S.–Iran framework links investment, sanctions relief and security. Can economic integration succeed where pressure and war failed?