The Long Tail of Operation Epic Fury: Structural Disorder After the Guns Fall Silent

Operation Epic Fury’s aftermath reshapes Gulf security, markets, and nuclear risk, transforming Iran from containable threat to systemic disorder.
Lebanon and Syria’s Nightmare: A Syrian Military Intervention Against Hezbollah

U.S. pressure on Syria to target Hezbollah in Lebanon’s Bekaa raises fears of regional escalation, sectarian conflict, and wider Middle East instability.
The UK’s withdrawal from the Middle East: The time for a bold recourse of action

UK ends 46-year Middle East naval presence, raising strategic, economic, and security challenges amid Iran crisis. Fleet renewal and allies now key.
Syria amidst Regional Turmoil

The best-case scenario – at least for Syria at the moment – might the containment of Hezbollah within a strong Lebanese state.
Iraq Is No Longer a Bystander in This War

Airstrikes, retaliatory attacks, and cross-border escalation in Syria and beyond entail that Iraq can no longer remain a bystander in this war.
Iraq’s Oil Shock is Becoming a Payroll Crisis

Iraq is no longer coping with an energy shock but confronting the slow unraveling of a political and economic order.
Will turmoil in the Middle East bring about a ‘Cypriot-led, Cypriot-owned’ peace process?

The Cypriot peace process has been unpredictable for the past 50 years. There are nonetheless some signs of progress (and even optimism).
Off Ramps…and On Ramps amidst the Iran War

Without a political groundwork, a Kurdish-led military strategy risks deepening Iran’s internal fractures rather than accelerating political change.
Iran War Forces Kurdish Groups into the Spotlight

Without a political groundwork, a Kurdish-led military strategy risks deepening Iran’s internal fractures rather than accelerating political change.
The Kurdish Question in Iran’s War Moment: A Conversation with Abdulla Pashew