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Israel, Iran, and the Strategic Logic of Nuclear War – Part II
Even an asymmetrical nuclear war in which Israel is the sole nuclear power could inflict intolerable harms.
Israel, Iran, and the Strategic Logic of Nuclear War – Part I
As designated instruments of a law-based system of deterrence, nuclear weapons can succeed only in their protracted non-use by Israel and Iran.
US-Iran Negotiations Beyond Nuclear Issues Could Lead to Failure
The Elevated Role of Turkey in the Middle East
Ankara is cautious about the spillover effects that a regime change in Iran could bring about, but it possesses the instruments to manage instability.
Regime Change in Tehran is Critical for Iran and the Broader Region, and Now is the Time
The U.S. should maintain that regime change is preferable to the current situation for the Iranian people and for the Palestinians in the Gaza Strip.
The Reconfiguration of the Abraham Accords after the Regional War
The war confirmed that security remains the threshold pre-condition for the survival and expansion of the Accords.
Syria’s Future Between Fragmentation and Rival Reconstruction
Leveraging economic and security incentives to promote gradual stability allows Israel and Syria to extract de-confliction.
The Middle East is drifting toward rival security blocs
Saudi Arabia is pursuing a more institutionalized model while the UAE’s flexible hedging emphasizes optionality over commitment in security.
How Turkey and the Syrian Interim Government Outmanoeuvred the U.S. and the SDF in Syria
SDF forces have few options but to accept an unfavourable American- and Turkish-backed deal proposed by Damascus.
Selective Policy Transfer: Why GCC Reformers Borrow from China and Where It Breaks Down
China is less a blueprint than a reference point for the GCC. Governance instruments can be adapted, but their effects are mediated by local structures.